Impact of autonomous vehicles depends on whether the vehicles are shared or owned - could be as many cars on the streets as today
Do you think that MBTA will have autonomous vehicles deployed "in time?" If not, people will choose autonomous vehicles.
TransitX - mass transit using autonomous electric vehicles on a guideway. Privately financed.
4 x capacity
10 x higher efficiency
4 x more speed
Up to 20 stations per mile
Transitioning from drivers-based cars to autonomous/shared vehicles?
What about accomodating persons with disabilities?
Could become like your home - very personal. You do not want to share this with others.
What does shared mean
Private ownership of autonomous vehicles - no parking but circle the clock or send the vehicle home. Hundreds more trips being taken. This is why these vehicles should be publicly owned.
Sharing could be the biggest benefit of autonomous vehicles. Could reduce headways (space between cars)
There will be a mix of vehicles - it will not all be autonomous vehicles.
Pricing per mile gets at some of the things associated with ownership.
Is VMT being reduced by autonomous vehicles?
Different levels of automation. Dealing with levels 2 and 3 now - it is going to be a while before higher automation levels will be in-place. May never see level 4 though - USDOT may decide that these vehicles have to be safer. Policy issues need to be factored in.
What is the horizon of this discussion?
Transition will be hard - how do the current companies (e.g., Google, Apple) market it to the public?
How do you prepare for what is coming?
More funding coming in from the venture side.
Taxis couldn't imagine Uber/Lyft several years ago. What do we believe to be the future of transit in the world of autonomous vehicles? If transit is threatened by autonomous vehicles, how?
Are rides being taken away from transit because of Uber/Lyft? Not necessarily so.
Changing revenue streams? Reduce human error in driving is the point of autonomous vehicle. In LA, would be good to integrate as part of the transit system.
Commuter rail - bottleneck is parking. Autonomous vehs could drop people off at trains, so parking would not be a problem.
Taxing miles driven and weight of the vehicle - that would be the fairest. With GPS systems, you can measure how much people have driven.